AC Milan - Liverpool Milan made a great blow last night at the Wanda Metropolitano, which was conquered in the final minutes. And now the Italian team can go back to believing in a qualification that would have been sensational given the situation just 24 hours ago. The enterprise is far from simple, however, because a couple of non-trivial events must be combined. The first is obviously the victory in the San Siro against Liverpool who yesterday dominated Porto with many second lines. The second is even more picturesque, a tie between Porto and Atletico. A Spanish victory with a small margin, however, no higher than that of the Italians against the English could be fine for a matter of goal difference. The second option in Portugal is very bizarre although obviously possible. In the meantime, however, Pioli's team must take 3 points against Klopp's, which is possible to the extent that Liverpool is without motivation, probably with a lot of turnover and is played on the Italian field.

Pick: 1

 

After quite a disappointment and exclusion in the Champions League when they lost away to Sporting, players of Dortmund responded with better performance and a  1:3 victory in one of the most interesting matches of the previous round. Despite being back in the scoreline from the second minute, they fought back well and leveled up via penalty, using their chances far better in the second in an overall exciting game that could have gone either way. Dortmund is now on a two victories mini-run in Bundesliga, as they have just a point less than the leaders from Bayern and looking at the overall season, for now, can be satisfied with their Bundesliga status and rankings. They will miss long-term absentees defensive Schmelzer, Morey who didn't play anyway this season, but also forward Moukoko (6/0). Doubtful are offensive Reyna (3/2) and Hazard (9/2). Midfielder Bellingham (12/2) is lacking match fitness. Bayern Munich was set as a really strong favorite at home against Arminia Bielefeld but had to work a bit more than expected to get a narrow 1:0 victory in the end. The only goal was scored back in the 71 st minute via Sane, as the Bavarians were missing chance after chance, especially in the first halftime, and surely deserved a bigger margin victory. As said, they lead the table in Bundesliga, also doing a fine job in the Champions League with all five victories in their group so far, and are probably eager to finish it off with another win over Barcelona at home next midweek. The guests miss offensive midfielder Sabitzer (8/0), midfileder Sarr (3/0), right-back Stanisic (8/0). Forward Choupo-Motig (9/3) and defensive midfielder Kimmich (11/3) are questionable. Midfielder Goretzka (11/2) is lacking match fitness for now.

The table isn’t completely showing the entire truth, since the Bavarians still look far better considering the whole season and their performances in Champions League as well. Dortmund doesn’t seem really trustworthy at the moment and it’s not something that will improve out of nowhere - at least not against the sides of Bayern’s quality. The visitors should be able to take all three, meanwhile, the goals look like a granted thing, even if it comes as their’s three - giving us a decent value bet this time.

Pick : Bayern Munich Wins & Over 2.5 Goals

The Red Devils are coming to this clash after their success in taking a point in the last round away to Chelsea when they ended the match with a 1:1 draw, proving the bookmakers quite wrong in this one. They somehow survived the first part when they severely outplayed the home side and took the lead early in the second over Sancho. Overly looking, the Blues were far more dangerous during the second as well, but luckily for the guests, they only managed to equalize from the penalty executed by Jorginho later in the 69th, probably deserving more in this clash, at least in my opinion. Manchester Utd is currently at 8th spot in the Premier League rankings, five points in deficit compared to their opponents in the upcoming clash. Defenders Varane (6/0) and Shaw (12/0) are missing out for the Red Devils, as well as midfielder Pogba (9/0). Striker Cavani (5/1) is doubtful. The Gunners met the expectations in their last home clash against underdogs from Newcastle when they took a routine 2:0 victory. The hosts appeared better with the ball to their feet, but only in the second managed to finally break their opponent, scoring two over Saka and Martinelli, but honestly, Newcastle is simply appearing too poorly this season to be considered as a competitive side against any squad in the Premier League. Arsenal is positioned at the 5th spot in the rankings, having seven points less than leaders from Chelsea. Left-back Kolasinac (2/0) is injured, as well as midfielder Xhaka (4/0). Midfielder Saka (13/2) is doubtful with a muscle problem.

With the sacking of Solskjaer, the form of Manchester United improved and I expect more of the same from them in the next weeks. A victory away to Villarreal in the Champions League and a combative performance against Chelsea are decent signs that things went in a better direction for them. The Gunners did have their share of decent results recently but also do show very little efficiency on the road. That, plus improvement in form, it’s something that the Red Devils should use to their advantage this time.

Pick : Manchester United Wins

 

Luzern failed to be more creative in their last away fixture against Lugano, as they come with a pretty convincing 3:1 defeat, definitely lacking more determination for a more concrete resistance. Their defense was not at the desired level, as they conceded as many as three goals during the first part, only being able to be effective once here, over Sorgic back in the 10th minute. Luzern is currently hammered at the bottom, having five points less than safely-positioned Sion. Midfielders Schulz (12/1) and Ndiaye (11/3) are suspended. Injured remain mifielders Campo (8/0), Alabi and defender Monney - both without playing so far. Doubtful are defenders Farkas (6/0) and Burch (13/0), also midfielder Schurpf (4/2). Basel secured their ticket for further progress in the Conference League campaign but is still left to see in which position will they end up after their upcoming home clash against Qarabag. Even though they are currently second in Super League rankings, they are showing a slight form decrease, as they failed to record a positive result in their last two encounters, and are definitely eager to grab this opportunity to bounce back with a victory.

Overly looking, Basel is showing much more this season compared to their opponents, and with the slight game adjustments, their victory is looking more realistic in my eyes. However, due to their European involvement and insecure appearances lately, a draw should be considered as an option here as well.

Pick : Basel 0 Asian Handicap

 

Monaco currently sits at the leading position in the group, leaving their closest Sociedad with two points in deficit. Things are looking good for them now, and with a victory here, they will secure their further progress from the top, having one game to spare, so needless to say anything about motivation in this one. Sociedad made a setback in their last Europa appearance at home against underdogs from Sturm when they took only a point in a 1:1 draw. Even though they are still undefeated so far in the group stage(one victory and three draws), they earned their points mostly in a hard way, as in every match that ended up with a draw, they conceded first.

The French team misses midfielders Matazo (6/0) and Fabregas (2/0) due to injuries. The guests miss midfielders Zubeldia (7/0), Guridi (1/0), and a couple of those who didn’t play this season anyway.

Logically, Monaco will do their best to exploit the home soil advantage, and book their ticket for the knockout phase of the competition. They are more than capable to be dangerous, but if anything, Sociedad definitely can respond, so in my opinion, avoiding any outcomes and opting for goals from both sides is looking like the most realistic bet.

Pick : Both teams to score